Monday, May 5, 2025

From Alberta to the White House in May of 2025

 

In Canada, newly elected Prime Minister, Mark Carney wants to make the country into a world powerhouse when it comes to energy and resources. I would certainly like to see that but as always, there's a lot of issues to sort out at home and internationally starting his term.

Alberta is the home to several of the oil, natural gas and pipeline stocks I own. Premier Smith is making noise since the election that she wants demands discussed and agreed upon or hinting at separating from Canada with a referendum and slowly getting people riled up about that. Certainly goes against a united Canada pushing back on the US tariff war however initial talks between Alberta and Carney seem to be off to a decent start.

Then there's meets with President Trump this month over tariffs which PM Carney says will take time, which was the main issue heading into the recent Canada Federal election.

Meanwhile, It's May and I have stocks I want to further buy marked in my ex-dividend calendar. 

No hesitation here in buying more Enbridge, ENB.TO stock with it's current yield of near 6%, with a 3.01% dividend increase which kicked in on March's payout to stock holders.

Enbridge  has a gain of 29.90% over the last year. I'm more into long term results on the stock charts than current.

Fortis, FTS.TO is highlighted in a Globe and Mail subscribed article dated April 24th about Canadian stocks with sustainable dividends that are near record highs. 

FTS scores a 10 along with Metro, MRU.TO and Loblaw, L.TO which are Grocers and Pharmas I don't own at this time.

The scoring agenda is by TSI Network

  • one point for five years of continuous dividend payments – two points for more than five;
  • two points if it has raised the payment in the past five years;
  • one point for management’s commitment to dividends;
  • one point for operating in non-cyclical industries;
  • one point for limited exposure to foreign currency rates and freedom from political interference;
  • two points for a strong balance sheet, including manageable debt and adequate cash
  • two points for a long-term record of positive earnings and cash flow sufficient to cover; dividend payments;
  • one point for an industry leader

Fortis has an ex-dividend date of May 16th with a yield of 3.67% at this time with a 23% gain over the last year.

On that list AltaGas, ALA.TO scored an 8 and I'm seeing a lot of that company in news articles lately. Also hooking up with Keyera, KEY.TO (pipeline) I own to work together on infrastructure projects.

AltaGas gets 50% of its earnings from it's US business with a 3% yield. I added that stock to my Watchlist and decide on buying in June. The 5% dividend increases the past few years, got me interested as I look into the company further.

Near all time highs? Isn't that the worst time to buy? Where I buy monthly, I use dollar cost averaging so over time the highs and lows of stock buys tend to average out in he short term but ideally an investor wants to see a steady climb in price on the charts over the years.


The only other stock I follow and own is Algoma Central Corporation, ALC.TO that I plan to further buy in the first half of May. Algoma's stock yield is 5.2% with a yearly gain of 5.21% and recently increased their dividend by 5% on January 17th, 2025

Algoma is a 125 year old Great Lakes shipping company with a growing fleet of ships delivering a variety of products from oil, steel, cement and grain to name a few. Salt during seasonal times. International and domestic shipping.

With the US tariffs weighing on the company, the first quarter results were impacted according to their report but the company has been through political and economic issues many a time in the past and hopefully decent trade deals will be ironed out in the future.


Saint John, NB, April 28, 2025 – Irving Oil and Algoma Central Corporation (“Algoma”) (TSX: ALC) welcomed the first of two new product tankers into Saint John Harbour today. The vessels will service Canada’s largest refinery with deliveries to ports in Atlantic Canada and the U.S. East Coast. The vessels represent a total investment of $127 million by Algoma in partnership with Irving Oil.


In the second half of May, the financial/insurance companies I hold and highlighted as popular among investors in recent investor articles, have ex-dividend dates such as Manulife Financial, MFC.TO and Great-West Lifco, GWO.TO. 

On the US side of my portfolio, JP Morgan Canada's JEPI.TO and JEPQ.TO price dipped with their varying monthly distributions from mid to the high 20's to the low 20's with the impact of President Trump's shake, rattle and roll moves while Tech investors confidence went sideways with tariff and related news but regained with Google and Microsoft reporting good numbers recently to start off US tech earnings for this year. Both ETFs gained in turn but I'm sure there's more turbulent times to come in the US.



Saturday, April 19, 2025

The Global Trade Shift in Mid April, 2025

 

In May, earnings reports for several of the stocks I own will be available for scrutinising and I'll look for any forward guidance but with the US tariffs and unpredictability, I don't expect much in the way of guidance except for those not directly affected by the tariffs.

Canada's newly elected Prime Minister will be in office in May and see what comes of trade talks with the US. 

With politics weighing more than usual on the North American stock markets, I look at the economy as well and what's happening internationally in relation to us here in Canada.

China, one of the largest oil importers in the world is shifting from the US and buying more oil from Canada. A bright spot in the crazy international tariff war going on. 

I own several oil, natural gas and pipeline related stocks based in western Canada. I'm sure they welcome the increased export to China and other Asian countries as natural gas shipments will ramp up as well with projects like the LNG Canada, Kitimat Natural Gas Facility in BC coming online in mid 2025.

Enbridge, ENB.TO comes to mind with their pipelines and oil/natural gas storage/shipping faculties. Companies like Canadian Natural Resources, CNQ.TO, Suncor, SU.TO and Tourmaline Oil, TOU.TO.

Enbridge and Fortis, FTS.TO are companies I'll be looking at in mid May for further buying. FortisBC and Enbridge have a partnership with Natural Gas storage and shipping in BC. 

I bought into Royal Bank's RCDC, RBC Canadian Dividend Covered Call ETF soon after it launched in January of 2023 and although the MER of 0.71% is high, I hold it for the cash distributions and not for growth although it had a return of 16.9% in 2024 so can't complain. 

This year it dipped with the US tariff barrage on Canada but has come back up to the $20 CAD range with a current yield of 7.39%.

I like the top ten holdings by weight with Royal Bank, TD Bank and Enbridge at the top with a mix of sectors included.


The ex-dividend date for RCDC is April 23rd and I plan on further buying into that ETF. I look at as an affordable option than buying some of the big banks of Canada although I hold them all with the exception of National Bank with plans to buy that stock this year.

Meanwhile the TSX performed better than the US indexes last week with a 5% gain while the long term investors such as myself slosh through the muck the US has stirred up for now with the trade and tariff.







From Alberta to the White House in May of 2025

  In Canada, newly elected Prime Minister, Mark Carney wants to make the country into a world powerhouse when it comes to energy and resourc...